XRP analysis: Ripple edges above pivot amid mixed momentum

• 2.41 USDT daily close sits below the 20/50/200 EMAs (2.54/2.71/2.67) → higher-timeframe pressure persists while price holds under those averages.
• RSI 40.65 on D1 and a flat MACD histogram (≈0) → momentum is weak, with sellers still nudging the tape.
• Bollinger mid at 2.57 and lower band at 2.09; ATR14 at 0.26 → moderate volatility, room for swings within the range.
• H1 and M15 lean constructive (RSI 57.10/66.56) → intraday bid could test 2.43 (R1) and 2.54 (EMA20) if it persists.
• Market context: BTC dominance 57.61% and Fear & Greed at 27 (Fear) → altcoins often struggle; keep this XRP Analysis anchored to risk.

Multi-timeframe analysis — XRP Analysis

D1 — Daily XRP Analysis

EMA: Price at 2.41 USDT trades below the 20/50/200 EMAs (2.54/2.71/2.67). This keeps the higher-timeframe bias cautious; buyers haven’t reclaimed trend control yet.

RSI: The RSI at 40.65 sits below 50, signaling a slight bearish tilt. It shows buyers are hesitant and rallies may fade into resistance.

MACD: Line -0.13 vs signal -0.13 with a 0 histogram indicates momentum neutrality. This often precedes a directional push after compression.

Bollinger Bands: Price trades below the 2.57 mid-band and well above the 2.09 lower band. This points to a range with a downside lean until the mid-band is reclaimed.

ATR14 0.26: Moderate volatility. Risk control matters; swings of roughly a quarter dollar can occur within sessions.

Pivots: PP 2.40, R1 2.43, S1 2.38. These are immediate inflection points; a daily hold above R1 would soften the bearish pressure, while a break below S1 would reassert sellers.

H1 — Intraday view

EMA: Close at 2.41 sits above the 20/50 (2.39/2.40) and around the 200 EMA (2.41). Intraday momentum is slightly positive, suggesting buyers are probing higher. See the broader technical XRP analysis on Bitget.

RSI: At 57.10, RSI tilts bullish. Dips may find support near the short EMAs if momentum holds.

MACD: Line 0.00 above signal -0.01; histogram 0.01. Mild upward momentum; if it fades, the edge can vanish quickly. For context on recent trends, review our XRP pivot analysis.

Bollinger: Mid 2.38, upper 2.43, lower 2.34. Price is near the upper band, implying a test of R1/upper band where pullbacks often start.

ATR14 0.02: Low intraday volatility. Tight ranges favor mean-reversion unless a clear breakout prints.

Pivots: PP 2.41, R1 2.42–2.43 zone, S1 2.41. Micro-triggers cluster here; acceptance above 2.43 would open room to 2.54. For a multi-asset perspective, compare the crypto market performance of Chainlink, XRP, and Ethereum.

M15 — Scalpers’ view

EMA: Price at 2.41 is above the 20/50 EMAs (2.40/2.39) and around the 200 EMA (2.41). Short-term structure is supportive but not yet trending.

RSI: 66.56 shows strong momentum; however, overextension on lower timeframes can snap back quickly.

MACD: Line ≈ signal with a flat histogram → momentum is stalling; a small pullback wouldn’t surprise.

Bollinger: Mid 2.40, upper 2.43, lower 2.38. Price hugging the upper band hints at squeeze potential, but watch for fades near resistance.

ATR14 0.01: Very low micro-volatility. Breakouts may need multiple pushes to stick.

Takeaway: D1 is neutral-to-bearish while H1/M15 lean bullish — an overall balanced but fragile structure. In this XRP Analysis, intraday strength meets higher-timeframe resistance.
For more official details on the XRP Ledger, visit the XRP Ledger official documentation.

Key levels

Trading scenarios — XRP Analysis

Bullish XRP Analysis

Trigger: H1 close above 2.43 (R1) or D1 reclaim of 2.54 (EMA20).

Target: 2.54 first, then 2.57 (Bollinger mid). A sustained push could later eye the 2.67–2.71 EMA cluster.

Invalidation: Return below 2.40 (PP) on closing basis.

Risk: Consider stops around 0.5–1.0× ATR14 ≈ 0.13–0.26 USDT, as volatility is moderate.

Bearish

Trigger: Break and close below 2.38 (S1) on H1/D1.

Target: 2.09 (Bollinger lower) as the extension area, with interim reactions near 2.38–2.40.

Invalidation: Recovery back above 2.43 (R1).

Risk: Stops near 0.5–1.0× ATR14 ≈ 0.13–0.26 USDT to account for whipsaws around pivots.

Neutral (main)

Trigger: Range conditions between 2.38 and 2.43 while D1 remains under 2.54.

Target: Mean reversion around 2.40–2.41 (PP/price), fading moves at extremes.

Invalidation: Clear breakout above 2.43 or below 2.38 that holds.

Risk: Tighter risk near 0.5× ATR14 ≈ 0.13 USDT, given the low intraday ATR.

XRP Market analysis

Total crypto market cap: 3,795,791,354,277.40 USD; 24h change: 1.23%. BTC dominance: 57.61%. Fear & Greed Index: 27 (Fear).

High BTC dominance and Fear sentiment usually weigh on altcoins — a backdrop that keeps this XRP Analysis cautious on breakouts.

Ecosystem (DeFi/DEX)

DEX fees show mixed-to-weaker activity: Uniswap V3 (-21% 1d, -16.77% 7d, -15.02% 30d), Fluid DEX (-24.69% 1d, -42.80% 7d, -46.17% 30d), Uniswap V4 (0% 1d, -33.20% 7d, -13.25% 30d), Uniswap V2 (0.29% 1d, -29% 7d, +661.31% 30d), Curve DEX (-31.72% 1d, -25.32% 7d, -3.82% 30d).

Overall, participation looks selective; thinner flows can magnify moves when breakouts finally occur — something to watch in this XRP Analysis.