Ethereum [$ETH] has been experiencing a pullback after a recovery, revisiting the bottom boundary of its ascending channel at approximately $1,733.
This pullback stood out as it was followed by a bull run that pushed $ETH up to the middle portion of the structure and then slowed down. Buyers were able to defend the price when it pulled back to the 200-hour SMA, which is now sitting under all current price action.
Since the last major drop, the channel has continued to act as a guide to push price higher, indicating that the most recent pullback represents a reset rather than a total reversal of trends.
Source: X
The pull-back could serve to eliminate some of the over-leverage built into the market from the last run. However, loss of the 200-hour SMA will indicate possible short-term bearishness.
If the price falls through the channel support, there will be a significant shift in short-term sentiment. Sellers will likely begin looking for areas such as the $1680 region as their next area of interest.
Moreover, if they can gain enough strength here, there will be a potential continuation downward towards the lower value zone around $1580.
Still, if buyers successfully defend the price above the 200-hour SMA, this will increase the likelihood of another push toward the top end of the channel near $1860.
Bearish positioning meets critical support
As Ethereum approached an important resistance zone in relation to the price of $1,733, a whale has placed a $72.4 million short position with 3x leverage.
The whale shorted the altcoin at $1,735 and was sitting at $60,558 in unrealized profit from the trade.
This development matters because the trader has reportedly avoided a losing trade for four consecutive months. As a result, some participants view the position as a signal of further downside risk.
However, the trade also creates a visible liquidity target. The liquidation level sits far higher at $2,565, leaving substantial room for volatility.
Source: X
On the other hand, if Ethereum can sustain its current price, it will mount pressure on the whale’s position. At that time the whale could lose money due to a squeeze, which is a buy movement in Ethereum, and the whale’s original short position becomes a source of liquidity.
Final Summary
Ethereum [$ETH] holds key support, but buyers must reclaim resistance to sustain momentum.
Ethereum now sits between critical support and a $72 million whale short position.