HYPE down 22% from record highs: Will spot demand revive the uptrend?

Hyperliquid’s $HYPE token is down 22% from its $75 all-time high, bringing its 2026 uptrend to a key test of support. Market participation has cooled across the derivatives markets, while the spot flows show early signs of stabilization after strong selling pressure in early June.

The $50-$54 area now stands out as the most important support zone beneath current prices and the first major trend test since January.

Spot selling begins to ease for $HYPE

$HYPE fell below $60 on Wednesday after rejecting another retest of its all-time high near $76. The decline has pushed the price toward the 50-day exponential moving average, a level that has acted as trend support throughout the rally from March.

The recent pullback resembles $HYPE‘s consolidation in May 2025. At that time, the token printed a new high near $40 before entering a multi-week pause that cooled momentum without producing a bearish break on the daily chart.

$HYPE price comparison, July 2026 and May 2025. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The relative strength index is following a similar setup, rolling over from overbought conditions while remaining above the levels typically associated with trend reversals.

However, onchain data paints a cautious picture. Aggregated spot cumulative volume delta (CVD), which measures net buying and selling activity in spot markets, has improved from recent lows during the correction. The recovery has reduced the earlier sell imbalance, though spot CVD remains deeply negative at nearly $95 million.

$HYPE price, open interest, spot and futures CVD, funding rate. Source: Velo

The shift suggests selling pressure is easing rather than aggressive accumulation. Spot buyers have started absorbing supply near current levels, though the scale of demand remains modest compared to $110 million in selling recorded during $HYPE‘s decline from $76 in early June.

The derivatives activity continues to weaken. Open interest has fallen to $1.73 billion from $2.2 billion, while derivatives CVD has continued trending lower and now sits near negative $389 million, down from $400 million at the beginning of June. Currently, $HYPE traders appear to be reducing exposure rather than opening new positions.

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$50 support comes into focus

The next major test lies between $50 and $54, where the rising 50-day exponential moving average aligns with an unfilled daily fair-value gap. The zone represents the first significant support cluster below the current prices.

Holding above the region preserves $HYPE‘s sequence of higher highs and lows, which has remained intact since January. It also keeps the current pullback consistent with previous consolidations that developed within the broader uptrend.

$HYPE/USDT, one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A daily close below $53 would mark the first meaningful bearish shift on the daily chart this year. The 100-day EMA near $51.6 becomes the next support level, followed by the lower boundary of the fair value gap near $49. Below that, the next notable support area sits near $38.

For now, the most important signal is the gap between improving spot flows and declining participation across leveraged markets. The strength of demand around the $50-$54 support zone may offer the clearest indication of whether $HYPE‘s correction is nearing exhaustion or preparing for a deeper retracement.

Speaking in terms of accumulation, crypto trader Altcoin Sherpa said,

“$HYPE, I think anywhere in the 55-64 area is a pretty good place to accumulate this one. I think it goes to $100 later this year personally and is still the best altcoin…but it’s going to also depend a lot on bitcoin IMO.

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